Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
AZ

Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavlidis (54', 79'), de Wit (59')
Poku (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 12 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Santa Coloma
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
16.03% ( 0.36)	22.27% ( -0.01)	61.71% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.63)

50.68% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41% (

0.56)

72.59% (

-0.55)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.5% (

0.87)

44.5% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.47% (

0.7)

80.53% (

-0.69)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06% (

0.1)

15.94% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.8% (

0.18)

45.2% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 16.03%

AZ Alkmaar 61.7%

Draw 22.26%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.03%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.7%