Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 1.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Jordy Clasie 4' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 15' goal
  • Dani de Wit 16' yellowcard
  • Ruben van Bommel 51' goal
  • Pantelis Hatzidiakos 65' yellowcard
  • Dani de Wit 87' goal
  • Mayckel Lahdo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Amofa 2'
  • yellowcard Gerrit Nauber 34'
  • goal Philippe Rommens 66'
  • yellowcard Mats Deijl 87'

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
AZ 1 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 60.16% (-1.60)
Draw 20.64% (+0.27)
Go Ahead Eagles 19.2% (+1.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.33% (+1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.68% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 38.31% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 39.4% (+1.02)
Under 3.5 60.59% (-1.03)
Over 4.5 21.66% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 78.33% (-0.81)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 87.61% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 12.39% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 61.73% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 38.26% (+0.32)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5 66.58% (+2.00)
Under 0.5 33.41% (-2.00)
Over 1.5 29.96% (+2.13)
Under 1.5 70.04% (-2.13)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.16%
Draw 20.64%
Go Ahead Eagles 19.2%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.54)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.42)
3-2 @ 3.78% (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.24)
4-2 @ 1.97% (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.64%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-2 @ 5.2% (+0.29)
0-1 @ 4.54% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.20)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 19.2%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Willum Thor Willumsson 90'+2' goal
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 38'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 57'
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 87'
  • goal Zico Buurmeester 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 70' goal
  • Dani de Wit 80' yellowcard
  • Myron van Brederode 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Adekanye 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Luuk Brouwers 25' goal
  • yellowcard Fredrik Midtsjo 15'
  • goal Sam Beukema 28'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 33'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 42'
  • goal Sam Beukema 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal
  • Dani de Wit 29' goal
  • Dani de Wit 51' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 58' yellowcard
  • Jesper Karlsson 83' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 86' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Warner Hahn 82'
  • yellowcard Mats Deijl 90'
  • yellowcard Gerrit Nauber 90'+1'
Eredivisie
Jan 13, 2017 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rochdi Achenteh 81' yellowcard
  • Jarchino Antonia 89' goal
  • goal Wout Weghorst 69'
  • yellowcard Alireza Jahanbakhsh 81'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 81'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 85'
  • yellowcard Mattias Johansson 88'
  • yellowcard Iliass Bel Hassani 91'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 93'
Eredivisie
Sep 24, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wout Weghorst 36' goal
  • Derrick Luckassen 38' yellowcard
  • Wout Weghorst 52' goal
  • yellowcard Lars Lambooij 36'
  • goal Sander Duits 66'
  • goal Sam Hendriks 87'