AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

AZ
5 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Clasie (4'), Pavlidis (15'), van Bommel (51'), de Wit (87' pen.), Lahdo (90+3')
de Wit (16'), Hatzidiakos (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rommens (66')
Amofa (2'), Nauber (34'), Deijl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
60.16% (-1.599 -1.6)20.64% (0.264 0.26)19.2% (1.331 1.33)
Both teams to score 58.33% (1.646 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (0.964 0.96)38.31% (-0.969 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (1.017 1.02)60.59% (-1.022 -1.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.155 -0.16)12.39% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (-0.32 -0.32)38.26% (0.315 0.31)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.991 1.99)33.41% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (2.124 2.12)70.04% (-2.129 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 60.16%
    Go Ahead Eagles 19.2%
    Draw 20.64%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.64%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.289 0.29)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Go Ahead Eagles
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Thor Willumsson (90+2' pen.)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Pavlidis (70'), Van Brederode (86')
de Wit (80')

Adekanye (72')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2017 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
AZ
Antonia (89' pen.)
Achenteh (81')
Weghorst (69'), Jahanbakhsh (85', 93')
Jahanbakhsh (81'), Weghorst (81'), Johansson (88'), Bel Hassani (91')
rhs 2.0


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