Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.