UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Santa Coloma

(AZ Alkmaar win 3-0 on aggregate)

van Bommel (40'), Lahdo (78')
Mijnans (45+1'), Clasie (59'), de Wit (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cheryshev (46'), Toribio (78')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Santa Coloma.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AZ 5-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Santa Coloma

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Santa Coloma
76.79% ( -1.09)	14.31% ( 0.62)	8.9% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.76% (

-1.53)

32.24% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.16% (

-1.81)

53.84% (

1.81)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.12% (

-0.54)

6.88% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.72% (

-1.46)

25.28% (

1.47)

FC Santa Coloma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.71% (

-0.11)

44.29% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64% (

-0.09)

80.36% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 76.79%

FC Santa Coloma 8.9%

Draw 14.31%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Santa Coloma
2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.63% Total : 76.79%	1-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.31%	1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.9%