/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
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Marco van Ginkel
19'
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Ismael Saibari
48'
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Jerdy Schouten
50'
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Yorbe Vertessen
64'
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Luuk de Jong
70'
Vitesse vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F40%2Fphillip-cocu.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
Vitesse
28.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
24.39%
▲
(+0.23)
PSV Eindhoven
46.97%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
56.84%
▼
(-0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.45%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 2.5
45.54%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 3.5
32.13%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 3.5
67.87%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 4.5
16.17%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 4.5
83.83%
▲
(+0.71)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
70.6%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
29.4%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
34.61%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 1.5
65.39%
▲
(+0.66)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
80.51%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
19.49%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
48.63%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
51.37%
▲
(+0.81)
Score analysis
Vitesse
28.63%
Draw
24.39%
PSV Eindhoven
46.97%
Vitesse
2-1
@
7.02%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.63%
1-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.63%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.39%
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.39%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
9.38%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.97%
0-1 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.97%