Champions League
Aug 15, 2023 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 26' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 70' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 84' yellowcard
  • Javi Serrano 90' yellowcard
  • goal Joey Veerman 32'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 39'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 85'

Sturm Graz vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 8, 2023 7.30pm
PSV 4 - 1 Sturm Graz

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 8, 2023 7.30pm
PSV 4 - 1 Sturm Graz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Sturm Graz 34.65% (-0.16)
Draw 24.14% (+0.01)
PSV Eindhoven 41.21% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.57% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.12% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 41.88% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 35.72% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.28% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.8% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.19% (+0.05)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 76.19% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 23.81% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 42.02% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 57.98% (+0.17)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 79.5% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.5% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 47.01% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.99% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 34.65%
Draw 24.14%
PSV Eindhoven 41.21%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.13% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 3.24% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 41.21%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 8, 2023 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Isaac Babadi 4' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 22' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 32' goal
  • Ibrahim Sangare 73' goal
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 40'
Europa League
Nov 25, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Vinicius 45' goal
  • Bruma 56' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jusuf Gazibegovic 79'
Europa League
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 30' yellowcard
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 47' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 55' goal
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 57' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 32'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 50'
  • goal Eran Zahavi 51'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 57'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 64'
  • goal Philipp Max 74'
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 78'
  • redcard Ibrahim Sangare 89'