Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Galatasaray
38.59% ( 1.29)	24.18% ( -0.37)	37.23% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 60.78% (

1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

1.78)

41.76% (

-1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

1.77)

64.17% (

-1.77)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

1.45)

21.7% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

2.16)

54.85% (

-2.16)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.33)

22.39% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

0.48)

55.89% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 38.59%

Galatasaray 37.23%

Draw 24.17%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.23%