Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Varda SE win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Galatasaray in this match.