Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.