Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.