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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Ozdoyev (24')
Ricci (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
Kadioglu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-1 Karagumruk
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Fenerbahce

While Fatih Karagumruk will be looking to extend their fine run of form, Jesus's side know that they cannot afford any more slip-ups if they are to catch Galatasaray at the top of the table. We predict plenty of goalmouth action at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium on Monday with Fenerbahce claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
21.1% (-0.382 -0.38) 19.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 58.95% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89% (0.21299999999999 0.21)32.11% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31% (0.248 0.25)53.69% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.199 -0.2)27.99% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.254 -0.25)63.63% (0.253 0.25)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (0.20299999999999 0.2)10.8% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.16% (0.452 0.45)34.84% (-0.454 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 21.1%
    Fenerbahce 58.95%
    Draw 19.95%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 21.1%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.75% (0.043 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.041 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.95%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

Fatih Karagumruk
5.6%
Draw
11.1%
Fenerbahce
83.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
Dursun (27')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce18133245182742
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1894537231431
5BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
6EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor185763024622
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor185761921-222
12KasimpasaKasimpasa184952430-621
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor186392137-1621
14KonyasporKonyaspor185582128-720
15SivassporSivasspor185582128-720
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1822141538-235


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