Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Fenerbahce
21.1% ( -0.38)	19.95% ( -0.15)	58.95% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 64.23% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.89% (

0.21)

32.11% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.31% (

0.25)

53.69% (

-0.25)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.2)

27.99% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.25)

63.63% (

0.25)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2% (

0.2)

10.8% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.16% (

0.45)

34.84% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 21.1%

Fenerbahce 58.95%

Draw 19.95%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 21.1%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.95%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.95%