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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Istanbul Basaksehir

Karagumruk
2 - 2
Istanbul

Borini (45+4' pen.), Diagne (90+2')
Baniya (9'), Shukurov (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aleksic (42'), Gurler (90+1')
Duarte (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Friday, March 10 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-4 Gent
Wednesday, March 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Fatih are moving clear of any relegation worries with a string of good results, and they will be confident of extending that run against a visiting side who are struggling at the moment. Basaksehir were dumped out of Europe on Thursday night and now face a tough away assignment, one which we believe will be fruitless on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
30.04% (-0.391 -0.39) 24.72% (0.055 0.05) 45.24% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.403 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (-0.431 -0.43)46.22% (0.432 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (-0.408 -0.41)68.51% (0.408 0.41)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.47999999999999 -0.48)28.76% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)64.6% (0.604 0.6)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 30.04%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 45.24%
    Draw 24.72%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Istanbul

Fatih Karagumruk
100%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 1pm
Istanbul
1-2
Karagumruk
Trezeguet (25')
Ucan (72'), Okaka (80')
Borini (39'), Musa (41')
Erkin (54'), Mercan (88')
Oct 1, 2021 6pm
Karagumruk
3-1
Istanbul
Bertolacci (19', 30'), Balkovec (37')
Aleksic (84')
Lima (35'), Ponck (64'), Tekdemir (83')
Feb 6, 2021 1pm
Sep 25, 2020 6pm
Karagumruk
2-0
Istanbul
Roco (47'), Sabo (90')
Biglia (14'), Altinay (90+4')

Frei (29'), Kahveci (68')
Kahveci (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor157532415926
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor155461722-519
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor146171521-619
10GaziantepGaziantep145362021-118
11SivassporSivasspor155372025-518
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
14KasimpasaKasimpasa143741821-316
15KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor143561218-614
17Bodrumspor143291021-1111
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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