Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Istanbul Basaksehir

Karagumruk
2 - 2
Istanbul

Borini (45+4' pen.), Diagne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aleksic (42'), Gurler (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Friday, March 10 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-4 Gent
Wednesday, March 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
30.04% (-0.391 -0.39)24.72% (0.055 0.05)45.24% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.403 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (-0.431 -0.43)46.22% (0.432 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (-0.408 -0.41)68.51% (0.408 0.41)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.47999999999999 -0.48)28.76% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)64.6% (0.604 0.6)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 30.04%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 45.24%
    Draw 24.72%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Istanbul

Fatih Karagumruk
100%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 1pm
Istanbul
1-2
Karagumruk
Trezeguet (25')
Ucan (72'), Okaka (80')
Borini (39'), Musa (41')
Erkin (54'), Mercan (88')
Oct 1, 2021 6pm
Karagumruk
3-1
Istanbul
Bertolacci (19', 30'), Balkovec (37')
Aleksic (84')
Lima (35'), Ponck (64'), Tekdemir (83')
Feb 6, 2021 1pm
Sep 25, 2020 6pm
Karagumruk
2-0
Istanbul
Roco (47'), Sabo (90')
Biglia (14'), Altinay (90+4')

Frei (29'), Kahveci (68')
Kahveci (82')
rhs 2.0


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