Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 0-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Alanyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
22.73% ( 0.22)	20.64% ( 0.14)	56.63% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 64.09% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.69% (

-0.4)

33.31% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.92% (

-0.46)

55.08% (

0.46)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.05)

27.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-0.06)

62.78% (

0.07)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

-0.23)

11.8% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

-0.49)

37.01% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Alanyaspor 22.73%

Fenerbahce 56.63%

Draw 20.64%

Alanyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 22.73%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.64%	1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.63%