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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Alanyaspor

Sowe (18'), Milson (76')
Agcay (2'), Milson (8'), Kilinc (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozdemir (1'), Mahgoub (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-0 Istanbul
Friday, March 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-1 Alanyaspor

We believe that this will be a low-scoring affair due to the low attacking output of both sides, but think that the visitors will take the victory from this match as they possess a more potent frontline than the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawAlanyaspor
48.36% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.27% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)63.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.019000000000005 0.02)17.21% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.38% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.117 -0.12)62.85% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 48.36%
    Alanyaspor 28.27%
    Draw 23.37%
AnkaragucuDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.36%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 6pm
Alanyaspor
2-1
Ankaragucu
Mahgoub (65'), Bekiroglu (87')
Doumbia (49')
Gureler (69')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Ankaragucu
0-1
Alanyaspor

Cetin (57'), Cankaya (88')
Davidson (24')
Karaca (55')
Jan 25, 2021 4pm
Alanyaspor
4-3
Ankaragucu
Ucan (37'), Bakasetas (54'), Babacar (62'), Moubandje (79')
Babacar (69')
Paintsil (3', 28'), Badji (65')
Akdag (35'), Paintsil (39'), Gural (84')
Jul 4, 2020 4.30pm
Ankaragucu
1-4
Alanyaspor
Rivas (82')
Kitsiou (58'), Rivas (77')
Cisse (64'), Bulut (67'), Bakasetas (78' pen.), Fernandes (90')
Welinton (42'), Altintas (89')
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Alanyaspor
5-0
Ankaragucu
Bakasetas (16', 86'), Djalma (24', 93', 95')
Cisse (57')

Karayel (63'), Orgill (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor341112113942-345
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3499164143-236
16KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
17GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


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