Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.