Umraniyespor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu

Umraniyespor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Nayir (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batshuayi (73'), Glumac (89' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Umraniyespor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Umraniyespor

All competitions
Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-2 Istanbulspor
Sunday, January 15 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 15 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
UmraniyesporDrawFenerbahce
21.52% (0.492 0.49)22.89% (0.593 0.59)55.59% (-1.084 -1.08)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-1.248 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.66% (-2 -2)45.34% (2.001 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32% (-1.941 -1.94)67.68% (1.942 1.94)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)35.17% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.697 -0.7)71.92% (0.697 0.7)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (-1.061 -1.06)16.16% (1.06 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39% (-1.969 -1.97)45.61% (1.969 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Umraniyespor 21.52%
    Fenerbahce 55.58%
    Draw 22.89%
UmraniyesporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.395 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.1% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.5 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.44% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.99% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 55.58%

How you voted: Umraniyespor vs Fenerbahce

Umraniyespor
12.7%
Draw
12.7%
Fenerbahce
74.5%
55
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
3-3
Umraniyespor
Valencia (19' pen., 45+2'), Berisha (90+2')
Arao (12'), Valencia (22'), Peres (70'), Lincoln (76'), Henrique (77'), Berisha (83'), Kadioglu (90+5')
Glumac (29'), Gheorghe (67'), Mrsic (73' pen.)
Bettaieb (41'), Nefiz (76')