Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 0
Hatayspor

King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Giresunspor
Saturday, December 24 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.08%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 8.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
77.08% (-0.378 -0.38)14.49% (0.173 0.17)8.43% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.76% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.02% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)34.98% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.03% (-0.154 -0.15)56.97% (0.148 0.15)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.57% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)7.43% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.26% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)26.74% (0.279 0.28)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.68% (0.36199999999999 0.36)47.32% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27% (0.271 0.27)82.73% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 77.06%
    Hatayspor 8.43%
    Draw 14.49%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 6.69% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.48% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 77.06%
1-1 @ 6.84% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.49%
0-1 @ 2.63% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.56% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 8.43%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Hatayspor
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Saint-Louis (70')
Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')
Sep 21, 2020 6pm
Fenerbahce
0-0
Hatayspor

Valencia (26')

Santos (9'), Ribeiro (19'), Sackey (56')
Ribeiro (73'), Sackey (81')