Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
2 - 5
Fenerbahce

Topalli (48', 67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batshuayi (18' pen., 49', 88'), Kahveci (36'), Valencia (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbulspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Istanbulspor
Friday, October 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Rennes
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
13.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)20.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)46.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.026 -0.03)68.33% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)44.58% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.6% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 13.94%
    Fenerbahce 65.88%
    Draw 20.18%
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.18%
0-2 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.15%
1-4 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 65.88%

How you voted: Istanbulspor vs Fenerbahce

Istanbulspor
9.5%
Draw
9.5%
Fenerbahce
81.0%
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