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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
2 - 5
Fenerbahce

Topalli (48', 67')
Ebert (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batshuayi (18' pen., 49', 88'), Kahveci (36'), Valencia (86')
Aziz (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Istanbulspor
Friday, October 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Rennes
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Istanbulspor 0-2 Fenerbahce

After a testing fixture in Europe, we would not expect Fenerbahce to be at their scoring best but they should have enough quality to beat an Istanbulspor side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
13.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 20.18% (0.0039999999999978 0) 65.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)46.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.026 -0.03)68.33% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)44.58% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.6% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 13.94%
    Fenerbahce 65.88%
    Draw 20.18%
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.18%
0-2 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.15%
1-4 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 65.88%

How you voted: Istanbulspor vs Fenerbahce

Istanbulspor
9.5%
Draw
9.5%
Fenerbahce
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce15112239142535
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK157442821725
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor156362026-621
9KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
11KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
12GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
13SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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