Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 2
Ankaragucu

Ethemi (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kilinc (16'), Sowe (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-2 Istanbul
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawAnkaragucu
32.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.95% (0.035 0.04)41.88% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.141 -0.14)50.67% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.123 -0.12)72.57% (0.125 0.13)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)29.55% (0.066999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)65.58% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.98% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.116 -0.12)58.22% (0.11900000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 32.18%
    Ankaragucu 41.87%
    Draw 25.94%
IstanbulsporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.87%