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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
4 - 1
Hatayspor

Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
Mujakic (58'), Cigerci (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Kaabi (86' pen.)
El Kaabi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 1-1 Ankaragucu
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Besiktas
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-1 Hatayspor

This game brings together a low-scoring team and one that is struggling to keep clean sheets which could lead to an interesting outcome. The visitors were able to secure three points in their most recent match, and that momentum could end up proving to be vital in securing another win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawHatayspor
56.15% (-0.521 -0.52) 24.03% (0.403 0.4) 19.81% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-1.438 -1.44)52.13% (1.438 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-1.256 -1.26)73.85% (1.255 1.26)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-0.726 -0.73)18.42% (0.725 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-1.241 -1.24)49.58% (1.24 1.24)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.2% (-0.703 -0.7)40.8% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.636 -0.64)77.37% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 56.15%
    Hatayspor 19.81%
    Draw 24.03%
AnkaragucuDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 19.81%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Hatayspor

Ankaragucu
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Hatayspor
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')
rhs 2.0
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3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor157532415926
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor155461722-519
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor146171521-619
10GaziantepGaziantep145362021-118
11SivassporSivasspor155372025-518
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
14KasimpasaKasimpasa143741821-316
15KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor143561218-614
17Bodrumspor143291021-1111
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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