Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
4 - 1
Hatayspor

Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Kaabi (86' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ankaragucu

All competitions
Last Game: Giresunspor 1-1 Ankaragucu
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Besiktas
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawHatayspor
56.15% (-0.521 -0.52)24.03% (0.403 0.4)19.81% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-1.438 -1.44)52.13% (1.438 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-1.256 -1.26)73.85% (1.255 1.26)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-0.726 -0.73)18.42% (0.725 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-1.241 -1.24)49.58% (1.24 1.24)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.2% (-0.703 -0.7)40.8% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.636 -0.64)77.37% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 56.15%
    Hatayspor 19.81%
    Draw 24.03%
AnkaragucuDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 19.81%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Hatayspor

Ankaragucu
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Hatayspor
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')