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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
0 - 3
Galatasaray


Henrique (11'), Valencia (87'), Hakan Yandas (87')
Kahveci (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (32'), Akturkoglu (78'), Icardi (90+10')
Oliveira (26'), Boey (26'), Nelsson (34'), Mertens (45+8'), Kutlu (75'), Dubois (87'), Icardi (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray

Any predictions for this match beyond numerous cards and plenty aggression on and off the pitch between two intense rivals are hard to make given how well both teams have been playing of late. With so much on the line at the top of the table, it would be little surprise to see both teams settle for avoiding defeat should the match be heading towards that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
54.32% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.38% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.18 0.18)46.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.168 0.17)68.42% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)16.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.218 0.22)34.79% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.23 0.23)71.53% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 54.31%
    Galatasaray 22.38%
    Draw 23.3%
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
48.9%
Draw
24.5%
Galatasaray
26.6%
94
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Galatasaray
Zajc (26'), Dursun (68')
Aziz (33'), Hakan Yandas (56'), Kahveci (62')

Marcao (40'), Babel (45+2'), Cicaldau (58'), Antalyali (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 4pm
Galatasaray
1-2
Fenerbahce
Akturkoglu (16')
Kutlu (25'), Marcao (35'), Muslera (35'), Terim (45+3'), Nelsson (66'), Terim (90+7')
Ozil (31'), Crespo (90+4')
Tisserand (24'), Ozer (35'), Hakan Yandas (35'), Kahveci (90+7')
Tisserand (82')
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
Galatasaray
0-0
Fenerbahce

Luyindama (15'), Falcao (47'), Turan (61'), Antalyali (62'), Etebo (82'), Marcao (85'), Belhanda (86')

Sosa (12'), Tisserand (23'), Gonul (70'), Gustavo (90+1')
Feb 23, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-3
Galatasaray
Kruse (21' pen.)
Aziz (16'), Tufan (36'), Arslan (50'), Dirar (54'), Isla (58')
E. (67'), Turuc (85')
Donk (40'), Falcao (80' pen.), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (20'), Falcao (36'), Michael Seri (58'), Donk (68'), Mariano (74'), Andone (90'), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor341112113942-345
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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