Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
5 Ocak Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Adana Demirspor
1 - 1
Fenerbahce

Ndiaye (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Valencia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-2 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, January 28 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, January 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawFenerbahce
26.8% (1.131 1.13)22.12% (0.46 0.46)51.08% (-1.586 -1.59)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.551 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.72% (-1.205 -1.21)36.27% (1.21 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-1.334 -1.33)58.4% (1.337 1.34)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.16 0.16)25.91% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.214 0.21)60.89% (-0.209 -0.21)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.92699999999999 -0.93)14.47% (0.932 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55% (-1.83 -1.83)42.45% (1.834 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 26.8%
    Fenerbahce 51.08%
    Draw 22.12%
Adana DemirsporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.232 0.23)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.319 0.32)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.301 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 51.08%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Fenerbahce

Adana Demirspor
17.5%
Draw
21.7%
Fenerbahce
60.8%
120
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
4-2
Adana Demirspor
Valencia (20' pen., 41'), Zajc (47'), Alioski (83')
Arao (45+4'), Zajc (49'), Szalai (53')
Belhanda (56' pen.), Dzyuba (66')
Akaydin (13'), Belhanda (18'), David (38'), Onyekuru (67')
Rakitskiy (82')
Jan 10, 2022 5pm
Fenerbahce
1-2
Adana Demirspor
Valencia (29' pen.)
Hakan Yandas (47'), Osayi-Samuel (90+2')
Inler (34'), Belhanda (46')
Svensson (27'), Stambouli (40'), Belhanda (47')
Aug 15, 2021 7.45pm
Adana Demirspor
0-1
Fenerbahce

Talha Sanuc (90+1')
Ozil (46')
Tisserand (31'), Osayi-Samuel (82')