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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 1
Kasimpasa

Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Guler (45'), Crespo (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fall (24')
Tirpan (26'), Donk (10'), Kara (90'), Ciftpinar (90+5'), Ciftpinar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-3 Istanbul
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Kasimpasa

 Batshuayi and Valencia will surely be too much for fading Kasimpasa and a routine win is a likely outcome for Jorge Jesus's high-flying Fenerbahce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
75.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 15.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03) 9.34% (-0.076099999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (-0.434 -0.43)34.47% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (-0.489 -0.49)56.39% (0.489 0.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.38% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)7.61% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)27.22% (0.233 0.23)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (-0.463 -0.46)44.97% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (-0.372 -0.37)80.91% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 75.61%
    Kasimpasa 9.34%
    Draw 15.04%
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 9.75% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 75.61%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.04%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa

Fenerbahce
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Kasimpasa
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
Jan 4, 2021 4pm
Kasimpasa
0-3
Fenerbahce

Sadiku (64'), Yildirim (81')
Thiam (14', 45+1'), Kadioglu (86')
Gumus (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor341112113942-345
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3499164143-236
16KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
17GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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