Fenerbahce

2 - 1

Karagumruk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.