Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Besiktas

Fenerbahce
2 - 4
Besiktas

Valencia (41' pen.), Kahveci (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tosun (58', 62'), Redmond (75'), Aboubakar (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, March 19 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
56.92% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)21.17% (0.038999999999998 0.04)21.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.02% (-0.133 -0.13)36.98% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)59.16% (0.142 0.14)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)12.9% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.69% (-0.138 -0.14)39.31% (0.135 0.13)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.24% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 56.92%
    Besiktas 21.9%
    Draw 21.17%
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Besiktas

Fenerbahce
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Besiktas
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Besiktas
0-0
Fenerbahce

Crespo (42')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Ghezzal (31' pen.)
Souza (29'), Welinton (36'), Ghezzal (45+2'), Destanoglu (45+4'), N'Koudou (89'), Yilmaz (90+3')
Novak (6')
Kahveci (29'), Hakan Yandas (45+4'), Kadioglu (90+2')
Dec 19, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Besiktas
Ozil (14' pen.), Berisha (30')
Szalai (74'), Aziz (78')
Souza (25', 59')
Bozdogan (43'), Yilmaz (69'), Batshuayi (78'), Ozyakup (88'), Ghezzal (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 4pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Vida (48')
Larin (35'), Ghezzal (90+3')
Tufan (89')
Samatta (31'), Valencia (47'), Aziz (58'), Sosa (79'), Pelkas (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-4
Besiktas
Cisse (34'), Tufan (68', 90+6' pen.)
Tisserand (15'), Pelkas (38'), Hakan Yandas (53'), Gustavo (63'), Tufan (90'), Lemos (90+8')
Aboubakar (4', 20'), Uysal (54'), N'Sakala (88')
Larin (25'), Yalcin (45+2'), Rosier (90'), Souza (90+8')
Larin (50')