Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
32.1% ( -0.58)	23.95% ( -0.33)	43.95% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 60.37% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23% (

1.34)

41.77% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

1.34)

64.17% (

-1.33)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.3)

25.24% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.41)

59.99% (

-0.41)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.95)

19.24% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

1.53)

50.96% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Istanbulspor 32.1%

Fatih Karagumruk 43.95%

Draw 23.95%

Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.1%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.95%