Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 4pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Kasimpasa

Zaniolo (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, March 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawKasimpasa
68.48% (0.43599999999999 0.44)18.04% (-0.122 -0.12)13.48% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.479 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.179 -0.18)37.25% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.193 -0.19)59.45% (0.188 0.19)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (0.057000000000002 0.06)9.9% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.2% (0.133 0.13)32.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29% (-0.573 -0.57)39.71% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (-0.532 -0.53)76.38% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 68.48%
    Kasimpasa 13.48%
    Draw 18.04%
GalatasarayDrawKasimpasa
2-0 @ 10.51% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 8.1% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.68% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 68.48%
1-1 @ 8.4% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.48%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa

Galatasaray
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Kasimpasa
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 6pm
Jul 24, 2022 6pm
Jan 20, 2022 5pm
Galatasaray
1-3
Kasimpasa
Donk (45+3'), Bozok (60'), Varga (90+3')
Travnik (52')
Aug 29, 2021 5.15pm
Kasimpasa
2-2
Galatasaray
Jorgensen (45+2'), Bozok (66')
Sadiku (71'), Eysseric (90+2')
Cicaldau (32'), Akturkoglu (38')
Feb 14, 2021 1pm