Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
Trabzonspor

Galatasaray
2 - 1
Trabzonspor

Mertens (18'), Icardi (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Umraniyespor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Trabzonspor

All competitions
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawTrabzonspor
59.78% (0.61199999999999 0.61)21.03% (0.073 0.07)19.19% (-0.681 -0.68)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-1.477 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.83% (-1.383 -1.38)40.18% (1.386 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.46% (-1.444 -1.44)62.55% (1.447 1.45)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (-0.259 -0.26)13.08% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (-0.532 -0.53)39.69% (0.535 0.53)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-1.499 -1.5)34.52% (1.501 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-1.626 -1.63)71.24% (1.63 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 59.78%
    Trabzonspor 19.19%
    Draw 21.03%
GalatasarayDrawTrabzonspor
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.41 0.41)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.49 0.49)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.283 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.19%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor

Galatasaray
90.5%
Draw
2.4%
Trabzonspor
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Trabzonspor
0-0
Galatasaray

Trezeguet (21'), Tokoz (46'), Elmali (63')

Akgun (15'), Akturkoglu (45+4')
Jan 23, 2022 4pm
Galatasaray
1-2
Trabzonspor
Cicaldau (31' pen.)
Marcao (58'), Ozturk (80')
Bakasetas (84'), Visca (90')
Cakir (30'), Denswil (30'), Peres (41'), Malli (90+2')
Sep 12, 2021 6pm
Trabzonspor
2-2
Galatasaray
Cornelius (41'), Nwakaeme (62')
Ozdemir (36'), Ie (63')
Kilinc (20', 33')
Kutlu (5')
Apr 21, 2021 5pm
Galatasaray
1-1
Trabzonspor
Akbaba (90+5')
Marcao (56'), Terim (90+4')
Ie (76')
Ie (27'), Bakasetas (60'), Hugo (65')
Dec 26, 2020 4pm
Trabzonspor
0-2
Galatasaray

Flavio (35'), Parmak (41')
Turan (44'), Caglayan (55')
Antalyali (14'), Elabdellaoui (24'), Bayram (77')