Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.