Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu
Umraniyespor

Antalyaspor
3 - 2
Umraniyespor

Larsson (38'), Vural (48'), Fredy (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nayir (33'), Ayik (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, January 21 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawUmraniyespor
52.57% (0.166 0.17)23.41% (-0.052 -0.05)24.03% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.117 0.12)44.85% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (0.113 0.11)67.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.105 0.11)17.05% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.79% (0.182 0.18)47.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)32.62% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)69.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 52.57%
    Umraniyespor 24.03%
    Draw 23.41%
AntalyasporDrawUmraniyespor
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 52.57%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.03%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 5.15pm
rhs 2.0


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