Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
42.45% ( -0.26)	24.15% ( -0.01)	33.4% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

0.11)

42.27% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

0.11)

64.67% (

-0.11)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

-0.07)

20.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

-0.11)

52.36% (

0.11)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

0.2)

24.71% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

0.29)

59.25% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 42.45%

Kasimpasa 33.4%

Draw 24.15%

Hatayspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 42.45%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.4%