Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep
4 - 1
Hatayspor

Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Kaabi (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gaziantep

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawHatayspor
54.25% (0.463 0.46)24.39% (-0.115 -0.12)21.35% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.073 0.07)51.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.065000000000001 0.07)73.52% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.208 0.21)19% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (0.346 0.35)50.55% (-0.347 -0.35)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (-0.31 -0.31)38.96% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (-0.293 -0.29)75.68% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 54.24%
    Hatayspor 21.35%
    Draw 24.39%
GaziantepDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Gaziantep vs Hatayspor

Gaziantep
66.7%
Draw
27.8%
Hatayspor
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Hatayspor
0-1
Gaziantep

Abdioglu (45+1')
Jefferson (73')
Kozulj (80')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Gaziantep
1-1
Hatayspor
Jefferson (30')
Maxim (23'), Demir (33'), Jefferson (90+9')
Morais (90+8' og.)
Canli (18'), Abdioglu (90+5')