Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.