Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Giresunspor would win this match.