Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Galatasaray
6 - 0
Kayserispor

Icardi (18', 42' pen., 45+12'), Rashica (23'), Akturkoglu (59'), Zaniolo (71')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, April 1 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Umraniyespor
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawKayserispor
75.71% (0.042999999999992 0.04)14.79% (-0.048 -0.05)9.49% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (0.26000000000001 0.26)32.62% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (0.301 0.3)54.29% (-0.306 -0.31)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (0.063000000000002 0.06)7.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.93% (0.17500000000001 0.18)26.07% (-0.18 -0.18)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (0.192 0.19)43.34% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (0.16 0.16)79.57% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 75.71%
    Kayserispor 9.49%
    Draw 14.79%
GalatasarayDrawKayserispor
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.025 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.29% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.75% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 75.71%
1-1 @ 6.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.79%
1-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.49%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Kayserispor

Galatasaray
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Kayserispor
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 6pm
Kayserispor
2-1
Galatasaray
Gavranovic (22'), Bulut (34')
Yilmaz (86')
Boey (29')
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Galatasaray
1-1
Kayserispor
Mohamed (85')
Marcao (90+4')
Cardoso (69')
Bayazit (90+3')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Kayserispor
3-0
Galatasaray
Thiam (39', 53' pen.), Bassan (45')
Hosseini (30'), Lung (75'), Akdag (90+3')

Caglayan (37'), Assuncao (59'), Diagne (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Kayserispor
0-3
Galatasaray

Demirok (43'), Muhar (77')
Falcao (44'), Onyekuru (81', 89')
Antalyali (35')
Nov 23, 2020 4.30pm
Galatasaray
1-1
Kayserispor
Diagne (63' pen.)
Akbaba (40')
Campanharo (71')
Celik (20'), Fernandes (48'), Behich (78')
Celik (62')