Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.