Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Umraniyespor

Karagumruk
4 - 2
Umraniyespor

Lobzhanidze (45+1'), Borini (45+6' pen., 52' pen.), Diagne (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nayir (36' pen.), Kayode (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Umraniyespor

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Umraniyespor
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
51.53% (-1.139 -1.14)21.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)27.01% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 66.06% (1.462 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.414 1.41)32.83% (-1.421 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (1.615 1.62)54.52% (-1.621 -1.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.137 0.14)13.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (0.285 0.28)39.76% (-0.293 -0.29)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (1.562 1.56)23.96% (-1.567 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (2.186 2.19)58.19% (-2.193 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 51.53%
    Umraniyespor 27.01%
    Draw 21.45%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.087 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Fatih Karagumruk
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Umraniyespor
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Umraniyespor
1-3
Karagumruk
Nayir (3')
Biraschi (8'), Diagne (55'), Borini (90')
Ozdoyev (12')