Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Alanya Oba Stadium
Galatasaray

Alanyaspor
1 - 4
Galatasaray

Karaca (17' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bardakci (14'), Icardi (42'), Mertens (48'), Rashica (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Antalyaspor 3-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, April 14 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Galatasaray

All competitions
Last Game: Galatasaray 6-0 Kayserispor
Friday, April 14 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
AlanyasporDrawGalatasaray
20.54% (1.364 1.36)20.56% (0.907 0.91)58.9% (-2.271 -2.27)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-2.301 -2.3)35.9% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-2.577 -2.58)57.99% (2.579 2.58)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)30.7% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)66.95% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01% (-1.305 -1.3)11.99% (1.306 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.58% (-2.843 -2.84)37.42% (2.844 2.84)
Score Analysis
    Alanyaspor 20.54%
    Galatasaray 58.9%
    Draw 20.56%
AlanyasporDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.322 0.32)
1-0 @ 4.35% (0.475 0.48)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.276 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 20.54%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.408 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.488 0.49)
1-3 @ 6.91% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.08% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 3.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 58.9%

How you voted: Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray

Alanyaspor
20.0%
Draw
3.3%
Galatasaray
76.7%
30
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Galatasaray
2-2
Alanyaspor
Mertens (11'), Icardi (22')
Balkovec (68'), Mahgoub (90+1')
Candeias (18')
Feb 6, 2022 1pm
Alanyaspor
1-1
Galatasaray
Eduardo (39')
Juanfran (72')
Akturkoglu (41')
Pulgar (86')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Galatasaray
0-1
Alanyaspor
Candeias (87')
Akbaba (41'), Diedhiou (48'), Aksoy (55'), Kirintili (83'), Karaca (89')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Alanyaspor
0-1
Galatasaray

Babacar (33'), Ucan (59'), Tzavellas (65')
Kilinc (18')
Oct 19, 2020 6pm
Galatasaray
1-2
Alanyaspor
Falcao (34' pen.)
Etebo (30'), Marcao (42'), Belhanda (67'), Ozturk (83')
Etebo (45+1')
Babacar (43'), Davidson (90+6')
Babacar (21'), Ucan (51'), Siopis (78')