Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.