Giresunspor have failed to win this entire calendar year, and while Alanyaspor have not been at their best either, there were promising signs against Basaksehir, and they managed to hold their own against Fenerbahce for large parts of the match.
As such, we expect the visitors to come away with a narrow victory, steering themselves clear of the relegation zone in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
