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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
3 - 2
Istanbulspor

Sowe (10', 53'), Diack (24')
Antalyali (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sen (47'), Lokilo (55')
Ethemi (28'), Sarikaya (51'), Yesil (74'), Ba (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Ankaragucu
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-1 Karagumruk
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-0 Istanbulspor

Buoyed by the Turkish Cup triumph over Trabzonspor, we expect Ankaragucu to edge Istanbulspor on home soil, with an eighth defeat in 10 away games looking likely for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbulspor
69.53% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 17.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 12.75% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (0.046000000000006 0.05)37.54% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (0.050999999999995 0.05)59.77% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)9.73% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)32.4% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)40.99% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (-0.032 -0.03)77.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 69.52%
    Istanbulspor 12.75%
    Draw 17.72%
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbulspor
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34%
5-0 @ 2.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 69.52%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 12.75%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
10KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
11GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
12SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
16KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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