Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 85.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 4-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.03%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.