Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fenerbahce
26.63% ( 0.26)	23.42% ( 0.11)	49.94% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

-0.27)

42.59% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35% (

-0.27)

65% (

0.27)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

0.05)

29.34% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

0.07)

65.31% (

-0.07)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.24)

17.18% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55% (

-0.42)

47.44% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 26.63%

Fenerbahce 49.94%

Draw 23.42%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.63%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.94%