Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2023 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Generali Arena
  • Marvin da Graca 33' redcard
  • Aleksandar Jukic 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jusuf Gazibegovic 9'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 15'
  • goal Szymon Wlodarczyk 38'
  • goal David Affengruber 60'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 71'
  • yellowcard Manprit Sarkaria 74'
  • yellowcard William Boving 79'

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Andreas Gruber

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result

Austria Vienna 30.42% (+0.11)
Draw 24.72% (+0.10)
Sturm Graz 44.86% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.86% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.98% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 46.01% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 31.68% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 68.32% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 15.85% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 84.15% (+0.26)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5 71.6% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 28.4% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 35.85% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 64.14% (+0.16)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 79.41% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 20.59% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 46.87% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 53.13% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Austria Vienna 30.42%
Draw 24.71%
Sturm Graz 44.86%
Austria Vienna
1-0 @ 7.36% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 7.32% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 30.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.85% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 9.24% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.86%