Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.