Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Arsenal

Ayew (27'), Doucoure (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Odegaard (54' pen.)
Tomiyasu (60'), Havertz (90+4')
Tomiyasu (67')

Reaction

Arsenal's Takehiro Tomiyasu walks off the field after being sent off on August 21, 2023

Mikel Arteta: 'Takehiro Tomiyasu red card decision is so obvious'

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta refuses to get into a debate surrounding Takehiro Tomiyasu's red card against Crystal Palace but claims that the decision is "so obvious".

Aug 22, 06:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 12 at 1pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Arsenal
22.1% ( 0.56)	23.73% ( 0.34)	54.17% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

-0.78)

48.24% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

-0.72)

70.39% (

0.72)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.11)

36.23% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

0.11)

73.02% (

-0.11)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

-0.61)

17.71% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63% (

-1.07)

48.36% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 22.1%

Arsenal 54.16%

Draw 23.72%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.1%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.16%