Premier League
Gameweek
1
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-
Eddie Nketiah
26'
-
Bukayo Saka
32'
-
Jurrien Maduro
45'+5'
-
Ben White
90'+2'
-
Ola Aina
28'
-
Orel Mangala
81'
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
82'
Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
News
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
67.27%
▲
(+0.57)
Draw
19.07%
▼
(-0.32)
Nottingham Forest
13.65%
▼
(-0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
51.05%
▲
(+0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.25%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 2.5
41.75%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 3.5
35.85%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 3.5
64.15%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 4.5
18.9%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 4.5
81.09%
▼
(-0.68)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
88.53%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
11.46%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
63.7%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
36.29%
▼
(-0.89)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
57.66%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
42.33%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
21.27%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
78.72%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Arsenal
67.27%
Draw
19.07%
Nottingham Forest
13.65%
Arsenal
2-0
@
11.38%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.27%
1-0 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.27%
Draw
1-1
@
9.04%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.07%
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.07%
Nottingham Forest
0-1
@
4.17%
▼
(-0.15)
1-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.65%
1-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.65%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
37
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
19'
Premier League
Gameweek
14
-
Gabriel Martinelli
5'
-
Reiss Nelson
49'
-
Reiss Nelson
52'
-
Thomas Partey
57'
-
Martin Odegaard
78'
FA Cup
-
Philip Zinckernagel
35'
-
Djed Spence
78'
-
Lewis Grabban
83'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
74'
EFL Cup
Gameweek
3
-
Martinelli
31'
-
Reiss Nelson
56'
-
Rob Holding
71'
-
Joe Willock
77'
-
Reiss Nelson
84'
-
Martinelli
92'
-
Jack Robinson
91'
FA Cup
-
Eric Lichaj
20'
-
Eric Lichaj
44'
-
Ben Brereton
64'
-
Kieran Dowell
85'
-
Joe Worrall
89'
-
Per Mertesacker
23'
-
Danny Welbeck
79'
-
Mathieu Debuchy
84'
-
David Ospina
85'
-
Per Mertesacker
86'
-
Danny Welbeck
86'
Premier League
-
Martin Keown
34'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News