Club Friendlies

Jul 27, 2023 at 4.06am UK

Masafi Stadium

Arsenal
5 - 3
Barcelona

Saka (13', 13'), Havertz (43', 43'), Trossard (55', 55', 78', 78'), Vieira (89', 89')
Trossard (27'), Havertz (36'), White (41')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Lewandowski (7', 7'), Raphinha (34', 34'), Torres (88', 88')
Araujo (37')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Man Utd (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1

Next Game: Arsenal vs. Monaco
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Next Game: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
Saturday, July 29 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.8%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Barcelona
40.61% ( -0.1)	22.59% ( 0.05)	36.79% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 66.86% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.15% (

-0.25)

33.84% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.3% (

-0.28)

55.69% (

0.28)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

-0.15)

17.39% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

-0.26)

47.8% (

0.25)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0.09)

19.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33% (

-0.15)

50.66% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 40.61%

Barcelona 36.79%

Draw 22.59%

Arsenal	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.79%