Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 15.99% ( | 20.72% ( | 63.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( | 66.66% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( | 40.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% ( | 77.27% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( | 13.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.78% ( | 40.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 2-1 @ 4.42% ( 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.99% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.72% | 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0-3 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0-4 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 1-5 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.28% |