Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 36.3% ( | 27.75% ( | 35.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( | 57.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( | 78.14% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( | 30.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( | 66.36% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.95% |