Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Barcelona |
| 26.29% ( | 24.27% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( | 46.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( | 68.9% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( | 31.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( | 18.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( | 50.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.3% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.43% |