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Martin Odegaard
28'
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Bukayo Saka
40'
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Gabriel Jesus
89'
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Declan Rice
90'+6'
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Gabriel Jesus
90'+11'
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Marcus Rashford
27'
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Victor Lindelof
38'
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Lisandro Martinez
65'
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Andre Onana
68'
Arsenal vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arsenal Goals
Manchester United Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 54.81%
2-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 22.89%
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